Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Viktor Durasovic

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.58	2.45
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
61.2%

Viktor Durasovic
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Viktor Durasovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktor Durasovic than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktor Durasovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Giustino - Viktor Durasovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 204. Durasovic is ranked ATP: 455.

In recent matches, Giustino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Durasovic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Durasovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.94%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
06.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Giustino L. retired ✺
06.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWW?L
- Viktor Durasovic
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Maxime Janvier - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
06.02.26	Viktor Durasovic - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Viktor Durasovic - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.11.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Viktor Durasovic	2:0
ITF Tournaments
20.08.15	Lorenzo Giustino - Viktor Durasovic	1:2

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