Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.75	1.98	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
52%

Max Alcala Gurri
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 284. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 426.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Jordi Garcia Mestre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Franco Agamenone - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Gonzalez Fernandez M. retired ✺
26.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0
28.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0

Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide