Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Pietro Orlando Fellin

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.83
	1.42	2.64	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
65.7%

Pietro Orlando Fellin
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pietro Orlando Fellin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Giustino - Pietro Orlando Fellin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Giustino (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 204. Fellin is ranked ATP: 464.

Giustino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fellin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giustino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giustino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Giustino L. retired ✺
06.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWWL
- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Gabriele Piraino - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Guillaume Dalmasso - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Juan Fuentes Vasquez - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Lorenzo Giustino - Pietro Orlando Fellin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide