Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.15	1.32
	2.69	1.47
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.84)	1.5 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
36.5%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's form might have worsened.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodriguez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Rodriguez (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodriguez (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 462. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 279.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dellien Velasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Santiago De La Fuente - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Emilio Nava - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWL

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide