Match Info

Date: 24 March 2022, Thursday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.56	2.33
	1.63	2.44
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.54	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
60.4%

Alexei Popyrin
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	0%	13.9%

Lorenzo Musetti - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (62 of 72 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.12% – 94.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Musetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Popyrin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Musetti won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Challenger
17.03.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Alexei Popyrin - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Reilly Opelka - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
10.03.22	Marcos Giron - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.22	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
15.03.22	Alexei Popyrin - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Tomas Machac - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.22	Alexei Popyrin - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
22.02.22	Alexei Popyrin - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Alexei Popyrin - Jiri Vesely	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.03.22	Alexei Popyrin - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
26.08.20	Alexei Popyrin - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
ATP Dubai
22.02.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.04.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexei Popyrin	0:2

Upcoming Matches