Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Athens, hard - Final

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Novak Djokovic		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.41	3.17
	1.45	2.65	Watch
	1.4	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	3.07 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
68.7%

Lorenzo Musetti
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	0%	20.5%

Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Djokovic (2.02) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -2 Games - Djokovic (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Novak Djokovic will win (31 of 39 users predict this - 79.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.82% – 92.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Novak Djokovic will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Djokovic (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Musetti (votes: 7 - 21.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Djokovic is ranked ATP: 5. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djokovic won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Djokovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Djokovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Djokovic won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Athens
07.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
18.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. retired ✺
16.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWW?L
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Athens
07.11.25	Sebastian Korda - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Alexandre Muller - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
25.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
25.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
02.08.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:3
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	3:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
13.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Paris
04.11.22	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0

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