Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Reilly Opelka		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	3.06	1.43
	2.87	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.78	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
33.7%

Lorenzo Musetti
66.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	0%	84%

Reilly Opelka - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 324. Musetti is ranked ATP: 18.

Opelka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Opelka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Reilly Opelka - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Atlanta
25.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
03.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Reilly Opelka - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP US Open
02.09.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Reilly Opelka	0:3
ATP Roma
11.05.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Reilly Opelka	0:2

Reilly Opelka - Lorenzo Musetti