Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.7	Watch
	1.27	4.2
	1.3	3.84	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.26	3.89	Watch
	1.27	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	3.79 ↑ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
74.7%

Alibek Kachmazov
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Musetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lorenzo Musetti - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 19. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 252.

Musetti is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kachmazov in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
28.08.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
26.08.24	Reilly Opelka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Seong Chan Hong - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWW

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