Match Info

Date: 26 July 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Lorenzo Musetti		Aljaz Bedene

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.3
	1.31	3.25
	1.37	3.33
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.35	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
71.2%

Aljaz Bedene
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Aljaz Bedene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aljaz Bedene than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.2%	0%	44.8%

Lorenzo Musetti - Aljaz Bedene Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). Bedene will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bedene is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bedene could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Musetti to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Musetti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Hamburg
24.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
18.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWWW
- Aljaz Bedene
ATP Hamburg
19.07.22	Aljaz Bedene - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Maximilian Marterer - Aljaz Bedene	3:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
07.06.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Aljaz Bedene	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.22	Novak Djokovic - Aljaz Bedene	3:0 ✺
25.05.22	Aljaz Bedene - Pablo Cuevas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
21.05.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Aljaz Bedene	2:0

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