Match Info

Date: 12 April 2021, Monday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.81	Watch
	2	1.75
	2.1	1.82
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.3	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
46%

Aslan Karatsev
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	0%	78.4%

Lorenzo Musetti - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (98 of 125 users predict this - 78.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.19% – 85.61%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cagliari
09.04.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
08.04.21	Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
06.04.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.21	Marin Cilic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
27.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Miami
29.03.21	Aslan Karatsev - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Aslan Karatsev - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
20.03.21	Lloyd George Harris - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
19.03.21	Aslan Karatsev - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
18.03.21	Aslan Karatsev - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWWW

Lorenzo Musetti - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide