Match Info

Date: 6 April 2021, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.24	4.1	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.26	4.27
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.22	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	4.19 ↑ (3.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
77.2%

Dennis Novak
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	0%	21.6%

Lorenzo Musetti - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is certain favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Miami
29.03.21	Marin Cilic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
27.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
25.03.21	Michael Mmoh - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
20.03.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
19.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Dennis Novak
ATP Dubai
14.03.21	Alexei Popyrin - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
08.03.21	Dennis Novak - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
26.02.21	Dennis Novak - Peter Gojowczyk	0:2 ✺
25.02.21	Dusan Lajovic - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
23.02.21	Dennis Novak - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWW

Lorenzo Musetti - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide