Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.2
	1.36	3.2
	1.36	3.1
	1.39	3.26
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.35	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)	3.23 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
70.4%

Daniel Evans
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Evans is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Evans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Barcelona
18.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
13.04.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
12.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	David Goffin - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
12.04.22	Daniel Evans - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
12.04.22	Daniel Evans - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.22	Pablo Andujar-Alba - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cagliari
08.04.21	Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide