Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2	1.81	Watch
	2.02	1.74
	2.12	1.79
	2	1.8
	2.05	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)	1.79 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
46.7%

Gianluca Mager
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.5%	0%	74.5%

Lorenzo Musetti - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 13 - 25.5%). Mager will win (votes: 38 - 74.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 62.5% – 86.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mager won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Indian Wells
08.10.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
28.09.21	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Astana
22.09.21	Laslo Djere - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
21.09.21	Marc Polmans - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Gael Monfils - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
08.10.21	Marton Fucsovics - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
01.10.21	Gianluca Mager - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
29.09.21	Gianluca Mager - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
27.09.21	Adrian Mannarino - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Parma
25.05.21	Gianluca Mager - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Challenger
12.11.19	Gianluca Mager - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2

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