The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marc Polmans 28.7%
Lorenzo Musetti 71.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
61.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marc Polmans's form might have worsened.
Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Polmans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
0%
58.8%
Marc Polmans - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Musetti will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
One and the other player has got a line of lost games.
Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.