Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
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Usa	Max


	Lorenzo Musetti		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	2.7 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
64.8%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.9%	0%	44.1%

Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). Rune will win (votes: 14 - 42.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 4 - 50%). Rune (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Rune (2.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Rune (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Rune (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Rune is ranked ATP: 10.

Now, both players are in good form.

Musetti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone	3:1 ✺
28.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Elahi Galan	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
16.05.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Quentin Halys - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:3 ✺
28.05.25	Emilio Nava - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
26.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Francisco Comesana - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2
ATP London
23.06.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2

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