Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+


	Lorenzo Musetti		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.88	1.9	Watch
	2.24	1.61	Watch
			Watch
	1.92	1.98	Watch
	1.9	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.24)	1.85 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
48.4%

Alexander Zverev
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Zverev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Musetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Zverev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Zverev will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Zverev (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Musetti (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Musetti (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Musetti (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Musetti (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games, 1st Set - Musetti (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Zverev (votes: 5 - 26.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 8. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Musetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.18%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
17.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWW?L
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Zverev	Zverev A. walkover ✺
23.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
15.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
14.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Vienna
25.10.24	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
ATP Madrid
05.05.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev	Musetti L. retired

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