Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

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	Lorenzo Musetti		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.41	3.13
	1.42	2.86	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.46	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	2.9 ↑ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
67.1%

Jaume Munar
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jaume Munar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Musetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaume Munar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	0%	14.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 10. Munar is ranked ATP: 44.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2.

Musetti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Munar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Munar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Musetti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired ✺
28.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?WWLL
- Jaume Munar
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Jaume Munar - Zizou Bergs	3:0 ✺
28.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.25	Jaume Munar - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	Canceled
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Jaume Munar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	3:0
ATP Santiago
01.03.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	0:2
ATP Challenger
31.01.21	Jaume Munar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1
25.09.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	0:2

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