Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 REGGIO EMILIA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: REGGIO EMILIA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Rottoli		Kyle Edmund

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.35	1.55
	2.33	1.56
	2.38	1.53
	2.24	1.58
	2.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.94)	1.55 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Rottoli
40.3%

Kyle Edmund
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Rottoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Rottoli's performance.

Kyle Edmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyle Edmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Rottoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyle Edmund than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyle Edmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Rottoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Edmund is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rottoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Edmund is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rottoli to win the game is with odds 2.86.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF Tournaments
29.04.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
28.04.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Carlo Alberto Fossati	2:0 ✺
26.04.23	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Florent Bax - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- Kyle Edmund
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Kyle Edmund - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Kyle Edmund - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Kyle Edmund	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.04.23	Pietro Marino - Kyle Edmund	2:1 ✺
12.04.23	Kyle Edmund - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Lorenzo Rottoli - Kyle Edmund

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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