Match Info

Date: 24 June 2021, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.96	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.8
	2.03	1.88
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.07	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.14)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
47.8%

Alexander Bublik
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.2%	0%	40.8%

Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Bublik will win (votes: 20 - 40.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 45.4% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bublik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sonego won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.21	Lorenzo Sonego - John Millman	2:0 ✺
ATP London
14.06.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Viktor Troicki	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.21	Lloyd Harris - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0 ✺
ATP Parma
26.05.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
17.05.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLL?
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.21	Egor Gerasimov - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
22.06.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
21.06.21	Richard Gasquet - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
ATP London
16.06.21	Alexander Bublik - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
15.06.21	Alexander Bublik - Jeremy Chardy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
03.11.20	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3
ATP Challenger
08.11.18	Alexander Bublik - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0

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