Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm (Sweden), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.34	1.61	Watch
	2.5	1.6
	2.46	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.34	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.71)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
40.1%

Casper Ruud
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 50. Ruud is ranked ATP: 8.

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ruud will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sonego won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Stockholm
14.10.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Casper Ruud - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.05.22	Casper Ruud - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2
ATP Vienna
28.10.21	Casper Ruud - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1
ATP San Diego
01.10.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Roma
17.09.20	Casper Ruud - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0

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