Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.46	1.6
			Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
37.9%

Denis Shapovalov
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 50. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 101.

Recent matches Sonego is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shapovalov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sonego won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Beijing
25.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	David Goffin - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
30.09.24	Denis Shapovalov - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Alexander Blockx - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Benjamin Hassan - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Denis Shapovalov - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
26.11.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP Roma
09.05.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	1:1

Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide