Match Info

Date: 26 February 2021, Friday


	Lorenzo Sonego		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.22
	1.69	2.31
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.72	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2)	2.26 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
57.8%

David Goffin
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Goffin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Sonego that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Goffin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	0%	32.4%

Lorenzo Sonego - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 102 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 69 - 67.6%). Goffin will win (votes: 33 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 58.5% – 76.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Goffin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Montpellier
24.02.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
22.02.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.02.21	Feliciano Lopez - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
08.02.21	Sam Querrey - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
31.01.21	Jason Kubler - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- David Goffin
ATP Montpellier
24.02.21	Benjamin Bonzi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	David Goffin - Alexei Popyrin	2:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
03.02.21	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Antalya
12.01.21	Alex De Minaur - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
11.01.21	Stefano Travaglia - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Lorenzo Sonego - David Goffin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide