Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	David Goffin		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	15	1.03	Watch
	10.5	1.04	Watch
	13	1.03	Watch
	10.95	1.03	Watch
	12	1.03	Watch
	14	1.02	Watch
	13	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.64 ↑ (10)	1.03 ↓ (1.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
7.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
92.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

90.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goffin is ranked ATP: 55. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Goffin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Goffin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	David Goffin - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	David Goffin - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	David Goffin - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Quentin Halys - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hopman Cup
21.07.23	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - David Goffin	0:2
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
03.02.21	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2

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