The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Sonego 50.5%
Denis Kudla 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
Denis Kudla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Kudla's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Kudla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.7%
0%
89.3%
Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Kudla Predictions
Users Predictions:
169 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 18 - 10.7%). Kudla will win (votes: 151 - 89.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kudla: 84.6% – 94%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sonego won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.