Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)


	Lorenzo Sonego		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.7	1.48	Watch
	2.77	1.5
	2.77	1.51
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.04)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
36%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	0%	80.6%

Lorenzo Sonego - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aliassime-Auger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sonego won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Sumit Nagal - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LWL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Lyon
17.05.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled
ATP Hamburg
22.09.20	Lorenzo Sonego - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2

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