Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Matteo Berrettini		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.77
	1.51	2.77
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.54	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
63.3%

Lorenzo Sonego
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Sonego will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Berrettini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Nuno Borges - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Sumit Nagal - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Daniil Medvedev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	2:0
10.06.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	1:2
ATP Challenger
15.03.19	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
16.11.16	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0

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