Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Selva Gardena, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Luca Castagnola		Niklas Schell

	1	2
	1.59	2.16	Watch
	1.61	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	2.18 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
57.7%

Niklas Schell
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Niklas Schell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niklas Schell than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Luca Castagnola - Niklas Schell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 624. Schell is ranked ATP: 824.

In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schell is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Castagnola will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castagnola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Luca Castagnola - Connor Thomson	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Adam Nagoudi - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Daniel Masur - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Luca Castagnola - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL
- Niklas Schell
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Niklas Schell - Christian Djonov	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Niklas Schell - Daniil Sarksian	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Pietro Marino - Niklas Schell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Henri Squire - Niklas Schell	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Niklas Schell - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.11.22	Niklas Schell - Luca Castagnola	2:0

Luca Castagnola - Niklas Schell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide