Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 28 September 2025, Sunday
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Luca Castagnola |
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Pietro Orlando Fellin |
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- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castagnola
40.9% | Pietro Orlando Fellin
59.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2.5 Games - Fellin (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fellin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Castagnola is ranked ATP: 633. Fellin is ranked ATP: 513.Castagnola has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Fellin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Fellin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Fellin could have a small edge in this match. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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