Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Hanwen Li

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.2
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.59	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	2.2 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
57.9%

Hanwen Li
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Hanwen Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwen Li than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hanwen Li, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Castelnuovo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castelnuovo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castelnuovo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
11.07.23	Woobin Shin - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
05.07.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee	0:2 ✺
04.07.23	Zhan Zheng - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
29.06.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Jacob Bradshaw	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	Hanwen Li - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Hanwen Li
ITF Tournaments
12.07.23	Mattias Southcombe - Hanwen Li	1:2 ✺
04.07.23	Hanwen Li - Aliaksandr Liaonenka	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	Hanwen Li - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	Hanwen Li - Tianhui Zhang	Zhang T. retired ✺
21.06.23	Hanwen Li - Ye Cong Mo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Hanwen Li - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2
14.06.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Hanwen Li	1:2

Luca Castelnuovo - Hanwen Li: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide