Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Luca Nardi		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
51.1%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 100. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 77.

Nardi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kovacevic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
01.04.25	Luca Nardi - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Luca Nardi - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
04.04.25	Jenson Brooksby - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL

Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide