Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday


	Luca Nardi		Goncalo Oliveira

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.32	3.5
	1.29	3.37	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.63	Watch
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	3.58 ↑ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
73.8%

Goncalo Oliveira
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Goncalo Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goncalo Oliveira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luca Nardi - Goncalo Oliveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 102. Oliveira is ranked ATP: 269.

Recent matches Nardi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nardi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Luca Nardi - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Luca Nardi - Javier Barranco Cosano	Nardi L. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLW
- Goncalo Oliveira
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Dev Javia - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Preston Brown - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Lawrence Bataljin - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Luca Nardi	1:2

Luca Nardi - Goncalo Oliveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide