Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Luca Nardi		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.57
	2.49	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.47	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
38.8%

Alexandre Muller
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Muller will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 88. Muller is ranked ATP: 71.

Recent matches Nardi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muller is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muller will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nardi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Adam Walton	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	0:3
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Luca Nardi	1:2
ATP Challenger
12.04.22	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	2:0

Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide