Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz (Germany), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday


	Mika Brunold		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.3	Watch
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.37
	1.33	3.14	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.27	3.54	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.62)	3.37 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
72.3%

Christoph Negritu
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mika Brunold's performance.

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mika Brunold that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Mika Brunold - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Brunold will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Negritu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brunold: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 334. Negritu is ranked ATP: 343.

Now both players are in good shape.

Brunold could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brunold is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brunold won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Justin Engel - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Jakub Nicod - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Tristan Lamasine - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Mika Brunold - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Mika Brunold - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
27.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Christoph Negritu - Mika Brunold	0:2

Mika Brunold - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide