Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Gabriel Diallo		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.45	2.75
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.86	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)	2.78 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
65.8%

Luca Nardi
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriel Diallo's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gabriel Diallo - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 87. Nardi is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent matches Diallo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Diallo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
02.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Gabriel Diallo - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Gabriel Diallo - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Gabriel Diallo - Ki Lung Ng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired ✺
04.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
03.01.25	Daniel Masur - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 L?WWW

Gabriel Diallo - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide