Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.17	Watch
	1.69	2.27
	1.69	2.15	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)	2.17 ↓ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
56.3%

Luca Nardi
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nardi will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Herediano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Herediano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Herediano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Herediano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Zhizhen Zhang	Zhang Z. retired ✺
13.02.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
04.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
31.01.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Petar Jovanovic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?WWL?
- Luca Nardi
ATP Doha
16.02.25	Luca Nardi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Luca Nardi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Luca Nardi - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Oleg Prihodko - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Luca Nardi - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi	1:2

Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide