Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 14 September 2025, Sunday
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Vadym Ursu |
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Luca Potenza |
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- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vadym Ursu 31.5% | Luca Potenza 68.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vadym Ursu's form might have worsened.Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Potenza's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-4%) 
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Preview
Ursu is ranked ATP: 502. Potenza is ranked ATP: 422.Both players have been playing unpredictably.Ursu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Potenza is the team to beat. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;