Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liege - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Luca Staeheli		Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski

	1	2
	1.42	2.60
	1.52	2.35
	1.45	2.72
	1.44	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.46	2.53
	1.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.32)	2.55 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Staeheli
63.7%

Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Staeheli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Staeheli's form might have worsened.

Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Staeheli than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Luca Staeheli - Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Staeheli is ranked ATP: 589. Lechno-Wasiutynski is ranked ATP: 660.

Staeheli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lechno-Wasiutynski's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lechno-Wasiutynski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Staeheli is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Staeheli
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Luca Staeheli - Courtney John Lock	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Luca Staeheli - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Staeheli	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Abel Hernandez-Aguila	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW
- Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	David Tixhon - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Maxime Chazal - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Jesse Delaney - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.06.26	Dominik Recek - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Luca Staeheli - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide