Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Luca Staeheli		Maxwell Exsted

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.7	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.08
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Staeheli
53.3%

Maxwell Exsted
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Staeheli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Maxwell Exsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Staeheli than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxwell Exsted than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luca Staeheli - Maxwell Exsted Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Staeheli will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Staeheli is ranked ATP: 446. Exsted is ranked ATP: 863.

Staeheli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Exsted has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Staeheli might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Staeheli will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Staeheli
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Juan Manuel La Serna	Staeheli L. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Nico Hipfl - Luca Staeheli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWWW
- Maxwell Exsted
ITF Tournaments
21.08.26	Maxwell Exsted - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Maxwell Exsted - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Maxwell Exsted	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Santiago Giamichelle - Maxwell Exsted	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Rafael Tosetto - Maxwell Exsted	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Luca Staeheli - Maxwell Exsted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide