Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 20, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday


	Luca Staeheli		Vadym Ursu

	1	2
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.69	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Staeheli
53.3%

Vadym Ursu
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Staeheli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Vadym Ursu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Staeheli than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Luca Staeheli - Vadym Ursu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Staeheli (votes: 1 - 50%). Ursu (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Preview

Staeheli is ranked ATP: 748. Ursu is ranked ATP: 443.

Staeheli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ursu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Staeheli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Staeheli
ITF Tournaments
03.12.25	Alexey Aleshchev - Luca Staeheli	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Ognjen Milic - Luca Staeheli	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Luca Staeheli - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Luca Staeheli - Karim Ibrahim	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Luca Staeheli - Yassin Ahmed Wageh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW
- Vadym Ursu
ITF Tournaments
03.12.25	Marcin Andrzejczak - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Muhammad Shoaib	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Luca Staeheli - Vadym Ursu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide