Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 July 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Luca Van Assche		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.68	2.2
	1.69	2.18
	1.71	2.25
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)	2.18 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
56.3%

Alexandre Muller
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Van Assche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Bastad
19.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Aslan Karatsev	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
01.07.23	Jiri Lehecka - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Gstaad
17.07.23	Alexandre Muller - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexandre Muller	3:0 ✺
05.07.23	Alexandre Muller - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
23.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0
30.09.22	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0
18.06.22	Alexandre Muller - Luca Van Assche	2:0
29.10.21	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	0:2

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