Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Margaret Court Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Francisco Cerundolo		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)	2.91 ↓ (3.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
67.3%

Zhizhen Zhang
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francisco Cerundolo - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Zhang will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zhizhen Zhang will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 20. Zhang is ranked ATP: 362.

Cerundolo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cerundolo is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Jaume Munar - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Francisco Cerundolo - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Ugo Humbert - Francisco Cerundolo	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP United Cup
04.01.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Zizou Bergs - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Flavio Cobolli - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
29.06.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Zhizhen Zhang	1:3

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