Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.06	1.73	Watch
	2.20	1.74
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.20	1.69
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.00	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.94)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
45%

Luca Van Assche
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Benjamin Bonzi - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Van Assche will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 100. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 54.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Van Assche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonzi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.57%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Soon Woo Kwon	Bonzi B. win ✺
18.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Dusan Lajovic - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WLLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1
ATP Challenger
12.10.24	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2
12.08.24	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1
ATP Marseille
20.02.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Luca Van Assche	2:0
ATP Challenger
10.09.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Luca Van Assche	2:1

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