Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Reales R. (Esp)


	Luca Van Assche		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.9
	1.85	1.92	Watch
	1.9	1.98
	1.9	1.98
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.87	1.94	Watch
	1.9	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	1.94 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
50.7%

Zhizhen Zhang
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Luca Van Assche - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Zhang will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zhang is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.24	Luca Van Assche - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Casper Ruud - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.24	Nuno Borges - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Martin Damm - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
08.03.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.02.22	Luca Van Assche - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1

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