Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.47
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.4)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
34.8%

Luca Van Assche
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 470. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 127.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Van Assche will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.5%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Max Schoenhaus	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Zdenek Kolar - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Titouan Droguet - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Alex Molcan - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
20.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	0:2

Upcoming Matches