Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sao Paulo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Lucas Andrade Da Silva		Mateus Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.94	1.77
	1.78	2.06
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.76	2.03
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Andrade Da Silva
51.7%

Mateus Alves
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Andrade Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Andrade Da Silva than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Andrade Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mateus Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Mateus Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andrade Da Silva is ranked ATP: 671. Alves is ranked ATP: 449.

Andrade Da Silva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Alves has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Andrade Da Silva
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Federico Zeballos - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW
- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Mateus Alves - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Mateus Alves - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.26	Mateus Alves - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Mateus Alves - Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

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