Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TROYES (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: TROYES (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lucas Gerch		Lorenzo Giustino

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Lucas Gerch
52%

Lorenzo Giustino
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Lucas Gerch aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Lorenzo Giustino aligns with the current prediction.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Recent matches Gerch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
04.07.23	Lucas Gerch - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Lucas Gerch - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
26.06.23	Timo Stodder - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Gabriele Bosio - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Lucas Gerch - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
05.07.23	Valentin Royer - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
26.06.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Lucas Gerch - Lorenzo Giustino