Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oviedo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Michiel De Krom		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.83	1.41
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.38)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
33.4%

Miguel Damas
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michiel De Krom's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michiel De Krom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michiel De Krom - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 526. Damas is ranked ATP: 402.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Damas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, De Krom won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Alvaro Peiro Serrano	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Andres Fernandez Canovas	Fernandez Canovas A. retired ✺
21.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Miguel Damas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Ignacio Parisca - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?LLW
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Miguel Damas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Miguel Damas - Michiel De Krom	2:0
22.01.25	Michiel De Krom - Miguel Damas	2:0
28.08.24	Michiel De Krom - Miguel Damas	0:2
19.06.24	Michiel De Krom - Miguel Damas	2:0

Michiel De Krom - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide