Match Info

Date: 26 July 2021, Monday


	Lucas Pouille		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.75	1.45
	2.55	1.47
	2.63	1.53
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.51	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.04)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
36.1%

Pedro Martinez Portero
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Pouille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	0%	41.4%

Lucas Pouille - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Pouille will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pouille: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pouille is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Umag
20.07.21	Lucas Pouille - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
13.07.21	Dusan Lajovic - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.21	Lucas Pouille - Cameron Norrie	1:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
21.06.21	Karen Khachanov - Lucas Pouille	2:1 ✺
20.06.21	Lucas Pouille - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Umag
20.07.21	Gianluca Mager - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
13.07.21	Dennis Novak - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.21	Christian Garin - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:1 ✺
01.07.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW

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