Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Lucas Poullain		Robin Catry

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	3
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	2.86 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
67.1%

Robin Catry
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 382. Catry is ranked ATP: 627.

In recent matches, Poullain has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Catry is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Catry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poullain will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poullain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Raphael Collignon - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Stuart Parker - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Federico Cina - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Lucas Poullain - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Robin Catry
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Tom Paris - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Michael Geerts - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Enzo Couacaud - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pablo Trochu - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Kenny De Schepper - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.07.24	Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry	2:1

Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide