Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Michael Geerts		Robin Catry

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.42	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.73
	1.49	2.50	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	2.6 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
64.2%

Robin Catry
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Robin Catry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Michael Geerts - Robin Catry Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Catry will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Catry (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 324. Catry is ranked ATP: 628.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Geerts could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Arthur Fery - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Michael Geerts - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Michael Geerts - Hongjin Qi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.25	Michael Geerts - Romain Faucon	Geerts M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWW?
- Robin Catry
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Enzo Couacaud - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pablo Trochu - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Kenny De Schepper - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Aziz Dougaz - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Kenny De Schepper - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Michael Geerts - Robin Catry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide